In leading polls of Democratic voters, Obama leads Hillary. And he also leads her in the only vote that counts, the delegates to the convention.
But take a look at recent Gallup polls for the general election. Right now McCain leads Obama, and for the last couple of weeks they’ve been exchanging the lead in a pattern that indicates the race between them would be close to a dead heat.
But Hillary has led McCain consistently and steadily for the month of May.
Here are the relevant charts: