And a fascinating one it is.
Ever since I’ve heard of this race, I’d been searching and searching for a poll, but nada so far until today. Rasmussen says that the results are 50% Coakley to 41% Brown, which doesn’t sound so good for Brown.
But remember, this is Massachusetts, nearly the bluest state in the country. This is Ted Kennedy’s seat, after all. Brown’s momentum is still building. And this is a special election, in which turnout tends to be low unless voters are enthused.
Coakley voters are not enthused, although they may become so if they hear that Brown has a chance to be a Republican Senator from Massachusetts (isn’t that a sort of oxymoron?). I’ve seen the Coakley ads, and the woman conveys nothing whatsoever that might engender enthusiasm, whereas Brown—well, that’s another story.
In the Rasmussen poll, the third candidate, the serendipitously-named Libertarian candidate Joe Kennedy (no relation) was left out for unknown reasons, although “some other candidate” is mentioned as a possibility. It’s hard to know what effect Kennedy will have on the race. He might split the Conservative vote, or he might cause liberals to pull the lever for him because they think he’s of the famous old family and a liberal (especially if they don’t know what the word “libertarian” means.)
Whatever happens, there’s only about two weeks till election time. If Brown were to win or even be competitive, it would be practically a miracle, far bigger than what happened recently in Virginia and New Jersey combined. It would send a cold shiver throughout the entire Democratic party. In fact, today’s Rasmussen poll (which also included the finding that, among voters who say they are certain to vote, Brown came within two points of Coakley; and that Brown leads among unaffiliated voters 65% to 21%) ought to cause Democrats to break into a cold sweat already.
However, as Sisu points out, a Brown victory might take even more than a miracle, since the Democrats have a habit of bringing the required number of dead people to the Massachusetts voting booths if necessary.
But, as the man says, it’s time to throw a snowball at Washington:
[NOTE: In related news, Curt Schilling makes the pitch for Brown. Donations for Brown accepted here. And more links here.]
Previously a lifelong Democrat, born in New York and living in New England, surrounded by liberals on all sides, I've found myself slowly but surely 
January 5th, 2010 at 2:17 pm
[...] Neo-neocon is also paying attention to the Scott Brown senatorial campaign in Massachusetts: Whatever happens, there’s only about two weeks till election time. If Brown were to win or even be competitive, it would be practically a miracle, far bigger than what happened recently in Virginia and New Jersey combined. It would send a cold shiver throughout the entire Democratic party. In fact, today’s Rasmussen poll (which also included the finding that, among voters who say they are certain to vote, Brown came within two points of Coakley; and that Brown leads among unaffiliated voters 65% to 21%) ought to cause Democrats to break into a cold sweat already. [...]
January 5th, 2010 at 2:28 pm
[...] ON SCOTT BROWN, with video. There’s certainly a lot of excitement in the [...]
January 5th, 2010 at 2:49 pm
As dysfunctional (and corrupt) as Massachusetts is, occasionally they do feel the need to reign in the ruling party. Typically this is a Republican Governor like Romney or Weld. This year it may be a break with the Kennedy’s. There are a lot of people in Mass that really don’t like the Kennedy’s. Never enough to block Teddy but a lot.
This year there may be a rebellion just to show their rulers the public is still alive. With all the JFK siblings gone, the remaining Kennedy’s are like sitcom spinoffs, pale imitations.
January 5th, 2010 at 2:53 pm
Because Joe Kennedy is running, the issue of mistaken name recognition will pull votes towards the Libertarian candidate. Here is an example of what occurred in Texas.
One factor that will assist the Democratic Party candidate is that the ill-informed, who would be more likely to mistakenly vote for Libertarian candidate Joe Kennedy, are also less likely to vote in mid-term elections. Let’s keep quiet about Joe, to lessen the likelihood that the Demos will institute a “Don’t vote for Joe” campaign.
Count me in as someone who doesn’t like the Kennedys. Reason: a childhood friend worked for them at Hyannisport one summer. As my friend put it, while the Kennedys like to present themselves as rich people with a conscience, they are simply rich people.
January 5th, 2010 at 2:57 pm
We cannot take it anymore.
The revolution has begun.
Go Scott Brown the … 41st.
January 5th, 2010 at 3:58 pm
For those of us not living in MA a contribution to the Brown campaign (link in neo’s posting) is the best investment we can make in this new year.
January 5th, 2010 at 4:59 pm
I have made a contribution to your campaign. I do not live in MA, but I have a vested interest as I do own a home at the Cape. I was pleased to see many SCOTT BROWN yard signs this past weekend. You have a good following and many more are getting excited and on board. Keep up the hard work and God Bless.
January 5th, 2010 at 6:03 pm
Sisu may have predicted the headline of the year! “Ted Kennedy posthumously votes for Coakley to replace him”
January 5th, 2010 at 6:34 pm
If only I had money to spare. Go Scott Go !
January 5th, 2010 at 7:00 pm
This gives me hope that there might be conservative candidate that will be willing to step forward and run against our Tennis Shoe Patty Murray, here in Washington. Oh, would that be a big change!
In the meantime, go, Scott!
January 5th, 2010 at 9:47 pm
And you can make phone calls from home – there’s a link from Brown’s campaign site to a site which takes you through the steps and lets you log your calls.
January 5th, 2010 at 10:37 pm
One of the best campaign ads I have seen – ever.
January 6th, 2010 at 10:52 am
a Republican Senator from Massachusetts (isn’t that a sort of oxymoron?)
Not really. We haven’t had one in 31 years, true, but there were quite a few Republicans before then. (Heck, we didn’t have any Democrats in the Senate before 1919.)
January 6th, 2010 at 1:09 pm
With what is at stake, why isn’t this getting more press? Now with two more Dems not running in the fall, this is huge.
January 7th, 2010 at 2:43 am
[...] http://neoneocon.com/2010/01/05/finally-a-poll-in-the-coakleybrown-senate-race/ Share and Enjoy: [...]
January 8th, 2010 at 9:36 am
Whew, with those two around, he’s got more to worry about then the election, ahem, but seriously folks…It’s been awhile since I’ve kept tabs on what was happening politically back home. I take it he’s not from an old decrepit mill town like many of us, but then again neither was Dead Head Willie Weld, (from New Yawk in fact) but here’s to it Scott, shake ‘em up!