All signs are that the majority in the House will change hands in November, although it’s best to advise against premature chicken-counting; Republicans are known for their ability to disappoint. And then, of course, there’s always the question of what they’ll be able and willing to do even if they win, and whether the Senate will come along for the ride.
But articles such as this one from Reid Wilson, who tries to reassure the Democratic troops that the Republicans haven’t really got much of a chance of victory in November of 2010, are the equivalent of whistling past the graveyard. He quotes unnamed “senior Democratic strategists” as saying they’re “not only likely to keep the House, but they believe the GOP won’t come close to gaining the 39 seats they need to take over.”
Hmmm, I wonder what Wilson and those strategists are smoking (as someone writes in the comments there, it must be hopium).
Wilson’s article, and others like it, may be an attempt at keeping Democratic voters motivated. After all, if they are so disheartened they don’t even go to the polls, then there’s no chance of stopping the Republicans. In private, it’s more likely that those Democratic strategists are whistling a different tune, however:
Top Democrats are growing markedly more pessimistic about holding the House, privately conceding that the summertime economic and political recovery they were banking on will not likely materialize by Election Day.
In conversations with more than two dozen party insiders, most of whom requested anonymity to speak candidly about the state of play, Democrats in and out of Washington say they are increasingly alarmed about the economic and polling data they have seen in recent weeks.
They no longer believe the jobs and housing markets will recover — or that anything resembling the White House’s promise of a “recovery summer” is under way…
I wonder why they ever believed the markets would recover in time. It’s been rather clear for quite a while that they were unlikely to. After all, it’s not as though this administration or this Congress has been doing anything different that would be expected to change things.
For members of Congress,it’s the old “fool vs. knave” question: are they really that economically ignorant, or are they out to sabotage the economy in a Cloward-Piven-like maneuver? And if the latter, why would they think re-election would be their reward? Come to think of it, though, the true believers such as Nancy Pelosi are probably safe in their ultra-blue districts, even if the country goes down the tubes.