…for a new Election Night thread.
I haven’t yet turned my TV on. Nerves.
Talk amongst yourselves.
UPDATE (9:31 PM EST) I said I wasn’t watching TV, and I haven’t been. But every now and then I’ve looked at blogs, and I can’t help but notice the news is bad. Not finished yet, but trending bad. I have to be honest about that.
I have been worried about this election ever since last weekend, when I got together with a bunch of friends who are liberals. I expected most of them to still favor Obama, but I had also expected at least a couple to be markedly less enthusiastic. But I discovered this was not the case, and I got a sinking feeling in my stomach. Afterwards, I wrote:
Although they are not quite as starry-eyed about Obama as they were in 2008, their enthusiasm and determination to vote for him remain undiminished. In fact, my impression is that their drive to do so may even be greater than before, because I sense a protective and defensive quality in them now, a perception that Obama has been under siege and is vulnerable.
They have also most definitely bought into every talking point the Obama campaign has given out about Romney, and they demonize him. One or two even cited Romney’s Mormonism against him, although they themselves are not religious and Obama’s affiliation with Reverend Wright has never been a problem for them.
It was a real shock to me, and it made me realize that although some people are dissatisfied with Obama and would not vote for him again, enough people were still determined to vote for him and had bought the attack line on Romney that Obama had a pretty good chance of re-election.
It’s still possible Romney could win, but he’d absolutely have to carry Ohio. That was always an iffy proposition. If Pennsylvania and Michigan and Wisconsin didn’t break for him, could Ohio? Well, it happened for George Bush in 2004, another very close election that this one is shaping up to resemble quite a bit. The thing is, Bush won that in a squeaker (although not quite as squeaky a squeaker as in 2000).
That year New Hampshire didn’t go Republican, but New Mexico did, by a tiny margin. And Iowa and Colorado too. Those are all still possibilities for Romney, as far as I can tell (I’m having a bit of trouble keeping up with the states that have been called so far, but I don’t think they’re among them).
Even if Romney loses, he may win the popular vote. If so, it would be another example of how evenly polarized the nation is. Of the last four elections, three have been extremely close.
I cannot get over the fact that Obama received more than about a third of the votes, but it has become clearer and clearer to me that most people are not paying attention and that the MSM has been very instrumental in making sure they don’t, and a lot of other people buy into the scare tactics (“Romney will take away your contraceptives”—remember how funny it seemed when George Stephanopoulos asked a question about that in one of the Republican primary debates?) and/or want the free stuff.