November 23rd, 2012

More on the Republican turnout myth and the demographics of the 2012 election

Very interesting stuff here.

[Hat tip: Scott Johnson at Powerline.]

8 Responses to “More on the Republican turnout myth and the demographics of the 2012 election”

  1. Curtis Says:

    Strassel is, of course, correct that better software is a vapid solution.

    But the myth of the missing votes will remain intact, and the internal contradiction within Strassel’s article supports that contention.

    What is the internal contradiction? How could general voting be down by 5%, minority voting increased, and the conservative vote not have failed to turnout? Who then didn’t show up? If minorities increased their showing, but the overall showing was less, who didn’t show up?

    Now, a caveat here: I believe incessant and institutional voter fraud accounts for the increased minority vote. So, if that were fixed, we would have a different administration right now. And Romney would have been declared a genius.

    But that did not happen and it is a horrible tragedy. But men are made from tragic times.

    But with regards to the missing voters, the failure of the conservative/republican/disinterested voter to cast their vote is the second reason for the election loss. They cost us this election and that is no myth.

    So what if Romney wasn’t their cup of tea. Their duty as a citizen is to vote. Voting is the foundation of our government and all those who neglected to vote elected supra-constitutional means of resistance. Okay. You wanted it. You got it. You may not like it. You make come to wish you had cast your vote.

    Strassel affirms the necessity of the ground game. She is right. We are going to have to break the bonds of reticence and fight the war of politics. If we do not, we will fight another war. A war of secession or against tryanny or against poverty or likely all of the above. But whatever it is we cannot not fight.

  2. vanderleun Says:

    “If we do not, we will fight another war. A war of secession or against tryanny or against poverty or likely all of the above. But whatever it is we cannot not fight.”

    Wrong, wrong, and even more wrong. There’s no stomach or organization for this. There won’t be either. People who compusively predict “This means war!” are just not thinking very clearly about exactly what this might entail in terms of logistics. The logistical necessities alone make this an impossible turn of events.

  3. point Says:

    The late numbers from Maryland and Utah suggest that, when all is said and done, 2012 turnout may end up exceeeding 2008 turnout. 17 states are already there: Arizona, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Iowa, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Nevada, North Carolina, North Dakota, South Carolina, Utah, Virginia, Wahington & Wisconsin.

    Last I read, they were still in court concerning certain ballot categories in Ohio. In the remaining contested state, New Hampshire, the difference between 2012 and 2008 is currently 13 votes. In the primary Sandy states (Connecticut, New Jersey, New York and Pennsylvania) the current difference is 2,267,867 votes.

  4. Curtis Says:

    It’s a good point, Vanderleun, about logistical necessities. The peasants in the German Peasant War lacked that very thing, but still, it was a close call, and the peasants sturdily embraced the new-fangled invention of printing.

    And the peasants will be arming again.

    Because something more powerful, more unuttered, more calculating than the most Machiavellian adjunct college professor writing to gain better employment works to the defeat of the promised Smörgåsbord. That something is stated in a link you had to FinemRespice: Mathematics. (Subtitle: Why Socialism must die.)

    Mathematics may bring about the logitical coordination just like it almost did in the German Peasant’s War.

    Of course, this is miles off and only after Mathematics has swamped the field and planted her flag, planted her reality of starvation and disease and despair.

    Will modern communications then make possible a peasant revolt?

    http://finemrespice.com/node/117

  5. Otiose Says:

    I think we can count on Obama’s love of self and over confidence to over reach, in particular, on immigration. He and the Democratic side might feel confident enough and sure enough of their future dominance to allow some progress in reform.

    A half way decent law – with serious enforcement -could take the issue off the table by the next election.

    This article by Barone makes a number of good points several favor the Democrats but it seems possible that if the immigration issue weren’t front and center as a threat then we could see several key percentage points in both Hispanic and Asian communities move. A number of states were very close.

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2012/11/22/dems_have_edge_but_presidency_still_in_play_116232.html

  6. NeoConScum Says:

    WEAKNESS is provocative. Baa-Daa-Bing. Like dat.

    Nuthin’ a Chicago Political Thug likes better than a decent, confident, able, experienced man turning his other cheek. Or, Lefties, in general, LUV the non-response Response from Non-Thug Republicans.

    My youthful experience with Bullies? Beat them without mercy ’till they can’t get up. Like DAT.

  7. Curtis Says:

    Wrong, wrong, and even more wrong. There’s no stomach or organization for this. There won’t be either. People who compusively predict “This means war!” are just not thinking very clearly about exactly what this might entail in terms of logistics. The logistical necessities alone make this an impossible turn of events.

    The more appropriate response here is “bite me.” Who are you to determine whether man is beast or freeman? How does any freedom exist at all in the existential world except through the actions of those who act, even in the face of their disbelief.

    You need to shrug off the voices of doubt and fear because your voice is not one of those.

    Or were you testing me?

  8. Range of Light Says:

    NCS: Mine too.

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